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2017年银行间市场运行报告

市场运行 MARKET PERF0RMANCE 

率中枢明显上行后保持平稳,成交量微降 2017年,中国人民银行维持稳健中性的货 

币政策基调,综合运用公开市场操作、MLF等 

工具,合理摆布操作力度、期限搭配、到期时 点和开停节奏,“削峰填谷”熨平资金面扰动, 

维持银行体系流动l生紧平衡格局。1月下旬,为 

保障春节资金需求,人民银行创新开展临时流 

动I生便利(TLF)操作。2月3日、3月16日和 

l2月14日,公开市场逆回购中标利率先后三次 

随行就市上行,幅度分别为lO、l0和5个基点, MLF也以相同幅度上行。l0月下旬,人民银行 

启用2个月期逆回购操作,旨在熨平财政因素 

的季节性扰动。 

全年来看,货币市场利率中枢明显上行后 保持平稳。分阶段看,1至4月,国内宏观经 

济金融数据超预期,监管机构去杠杆态度坚决, 

美联储加息及特朗普政策主张刺激美国利率走 高,叠加春节、缴税、缴准、MPA及LCR考 

核等时点性因素影响,货币市场利率中枢明 

显抬升、波动加大,IBO001、R007和DR007 

较年初分别上行69、141和51个基点,其中 

DR007于4月28日攀升至年内最高点3.18%, 各期限Shibor也有不同程度上行。进入5月份 

后,货币市场利率总体保持平稳,个别时点利 

率波动很快在市场机制作用下得到修复,DR007 基本维持在2.7%~3%区间内运行。年末,隔 

夜、1周、3个月及1年期Shibor较年初分别上 行63、37、163和137个基点至2.84%、2.95%、 

4.91%和4.76%,隔夜拆借加权利率(IBO001) 上行67个基点至2.92%,7天质押式回购加权 

利率(R007)上行265个基点至5.42%,存款 

类机构7天质押式回购加权利率(DR007)上 行42个基点至3.09%。 

2017年,货币市场成交695.3万亿元,同 

比微降0.3%。其中,信用拆借成交79万亿元, of China carried out innovatively temporary liquidity facilitation (TLF)operations.The reverse repo rate was raised 1 0,1 0 and 5 

bps respectively on 3 February,16 March and 14 December to 

match the demand Of the market,and the MLF rate was raised 

too.In the second half of October,the People’S Bank of China conducted 2M reverse repo operations in an attempt to smooth the seasona J disturb}ances of fiscaI factors. 

Throughout the year,the central level of money market 

interest rates maintained stable following a significant up— 

swinging.FrOm January to April.due to the impact of factors including the better·-than。‘expected domestic macroeconomic 

and financial data.the衙m resolution of regulators to promote 

de—leveraging,the Fed’S interest rate hike and the ever—rising 

interest rates of the US dollar stimulated by the Trump policy, 

as well as the Spring Festival,tax and reserve payment,MPA and LCR assessments,the central level of the money market 

interest rates was significantly elevated and the market volatility 

increased.The IBO001,R007 and DR007 increased by 69,141 and 51 bps respective ̄from the beginning of the year,of which, the DR007 surged to the yearly high of 3.1 8%on 28 April.The 

Shibor of various maturities also registered different increases. 

In May,the money market interest rates maintained stable as 

a whole,while they sometimes fluctuated violently,which were soon corrected by the market force,and the DR007 has been 

basically running within 2.7N3%.By the end of the year,the 

Shibor O/N,1W,3M and 1Y rose by 63,37,163 and 137 bps 

respectively to 2.84%,2.95%,4.91%and 4.76%,and the IBO001 

rose by 67 bps to 2.92%:the R007 1W rose by 265 bps to 5.42%,and the DR007 rose by 42 bps to 3.09%. 

In 2017,the money market traded 695.3 trillion yuan,down 

0.3%y-o—Y,among which,the credit lending traded 79 trillion 

yuan,down 1 7_7%y-o-y。the pledged repo traded 588.3 trillion yuan,up 3_5%y-o Y,and the outright repo traded 28.1 trillion 

yuan,down 14.9%y-o- 

The bend market expeHenced three rounds of sharp declines.

 and the bond yields hit the three·year hi【gh at Q4,with the trading volume declining 

Throughout the year,the bond market continued to be a bear market in the context of deleveraging,bubble suppression 

and risk prevention.At the end of the year,the 1Y and 10Y 

treasury bonds stood at 3.79%and 3.88%,up 1 04 and 78 

bps respectively frOm the beginning of the year.with the term spreads narrowing down frOm 26 bps to 9 bps.The CDB bonds 

registered greater adjustments than the treasury bonds,and the 1Y and 1OY CDB bonds closed at 4.68%and 4.82%respectively. 

up 149 and 1 12 bps frOm the beginning of the year.The credit 

spreads widened.The spreads between the AAA.AA+and AA Class 5Y corporate bonds with the same—term treasury bonds 

widened by 58.47 and 36 bps respective ̄. In 2017,the bond market traded 106.1 trillion yuan,down 

1 7.6%y-o-y,of which,the bond lending traded 3.3 trillion yuan.In 

terms of mat ty,the varieties below 5Y,5-10Y and above 10Y traded 84,1 7.1 and 1.7 trillion yuan respectively。accounting for 

81-7%.16_7%and 1.6%of the bond market tota1. 

TheⅡ curveflattened.withtheshortendinterestratesgomgup andthelong endnuctuatmgathighlevels.TheIRStradinghita 

recordhigh 

Throughout the year,the swap rates of most maturities went 

up,and the IRS curve flattened with the short end registering 

higher increases than the long end.By the end of the year,the 

swap rates of the most active varieties like FR007 1Y and 5Y closed at 3-71%and 4.05%respective ̄.up 33 and 1 9 bps from the beginning of the year.The swap rates of the IRS contracts 

pegging to Shibor 3M registered relatively sharper increases,and 

the swap rates for Shibor 3M 1Y closed at 4.71%.up 93 bps 

frOm the beginning of the year. In terms of the maturity,the short—end swap rates were 

greatly affected by the liquidity situation.The long—end swap rates manifested a somewhat dentical movement to that of the 

bond yields,and also experienced three rounds of up swinging, MARKET PERFORMANCE市场运行 

同比下降17.7%;质押式回购成交588.3万亿元, 

同比增长3.5%;买断式回购成交28.1万亿元, 

同比下降14.9%。 

(二)债券市场经历三轮大跌,四季度收益 

率刨三年多新高,成交量下滑 全年来看,在去杠杆、抑泡沫、防风险大 

背景下,债券市场持续走熊。年末,1年、1O 

年期国债收于3.79%和3.88%,较年初分别上 行104和78个基点,期限利差收窄26个基点 

至9个基点。国开债较国债调整幅度更大,1年、 

l0年期国开债收于4.68%和4.820/0,较年初分 别上行149和112个基点。信用利差走扩,5年 

期AAA、AA+、AA级企业债与同期限国债利 

差分别扩大58、47和36个基点。 

分阶段看,2017年债市共经历三轮大幅下 

跌行情。第一轮发生于1月至2月上旬,受上 年末财政部出台资管产品缴纳增值税政策以及 

多重因素导致的资金面紧张影响,1O年期国债 

收益率大幅上行超过40个基点。随后,市场 

出现小幅反弹。第二轮大跌发生于3月下旬至 

5月上旬,在央行再次上调公开市场操作利率、 银监会密集颁布多项监管与自查文件及强劲经 

济金融数据共同推动下,10年期国债收益率上 

行近40个基点。5至9月,债市相对平静,l0 

年期国债收益率在3.6%附近窄幅波动。第三轮 大跌发生于l0月至11月中旬,l0年期国债收 

益率再次上行近40个基点。此次大跌背景较为 

复杂,包括宏观经济保持韧性、金融数据超预 期、债市供给增加而需求疲弱、海外市场收益 

率上升、一行三会出台资管新规以及非银机构 

交易盘止损形成踩踏等等。在这一阶段,l0年 期国债收益率盘中升破4%,10年期国开债盘中 

升破5%,创下自2014年10月以来新高。此后, 

市场情绪略微缓和,10年期国债收益率在3.9% 附近小幅震荡。 

鐾 嚣 

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