预计资产负债表
实际值 2011 现金及现金等价物(元) 18,638,387,570.90 应收账款(元) 3,252,105.93 预付款项(元) 795,979,252.15 其他应收款(元) 2,043,933,734.52 存货(元) 64,135,243,833.82 其他流动资产(元) 2,621,369,433.38 流动资产合计 88,238,165,930.70 长期股权投资(元) 157,752,577.56 投资性房地产(元) 1,283,150,487.11 固定资产(元) 124,276,171.32 在建工程(元) 67,770,102.52 商誉(元) 7,643,930.97 长期待摊费用(元) 10,221,848.11 递延所得税资产(元) 611,073,175.11 其他非流动资产(元) 2,286,656,221.13 非流动资产合计(元) 4,548,544,513.83 资产总计(元) 92,786,710,444.53 短期借款(元) 2,279,446,546.81 应付账款(元) 5,785,707,445.44 预收款项(元) 23,213,776,291.64 应付职工薪酬(元) 765,528,297.26 应交税费(元) 613,324,717.43 应付利息(元) 76,283,554.54 应付股利(元) 32,189,545.93 其他应付款(元) 4,331,203,133.39 一年内到期的非流动负债(元) 11,879,826,903.61 其他流动负债(元) 3,052,296.54 流动负债合计(元) 48,980,338,732.59 长期借款(元) 14,171,764,608.04 应付债券(元) 1,192,104,303.30 递延所得税负债(元) 14,067,887.39 非流动负债合计(元) 15,377,936,798.73 负债合计(元) 64,358,275,531.32 实收资本(或股本)(元) 4,471,508,572.00 资本公积金(元) 6,216,486,637.00 盈余公积金(元) 830,463,956.74 未分配利润(元) 8,786,909,058.66 外币报表折算差额(元) 341,533,144.04 归属于母公司所有者权益合计(元) 20,646,901,368.44 少数股东权益(元) 5,494,877,323.64 所有者权益合计(元) 26,141,778,692.08 负债和所有者权益总计(元) 90,500,054,223.40 项目 2012 17,582,164,575.25 59,420,742.01 4,948,382,691.06 2,260,390,475.69 68,300,476,897.11 2,119,230,132.90 95,270,065,514.03 765,574,851.92 933,587,239.76 196,626,729.97 17,396,033.79 7,643,930.97 36,064,731.68 594,965,382.60 2,743,987,465.35 5,295,846,366.04 100,565,911,880.07 3,372,846,160.67 4,242,469,228.43 38,199,449,277.68 905,046,014.61 714,836,724.94 103,512,523.90 99,913,406.34 10,192,265,304.23 7,666,846,442.42 9,015,292.96 65,506,200,376.18 9,681,799,408.04 1,192,104,303.30 19,676,881.52 10,893,580,592.85 76,399,780,969.04 4,471,508,572.00 6,216,486,637.00 1,220,619,813.19 11,915,982,744.80 341,533,144.04 19,086,525,337.62 5,079,605,573.41 24,166,130,911.03 100,565,911,880.07
预计利润表
2013 33,581,582,656.53 20,115,961,389.18 3,580,874,376.75 1,142,590,060.03 1,499,601,220.62 2,211,018,304.07 79,667,604.22 0.00 4,951,869,701.67 0.00 4,951,869,701.67 1,237,967,425.42 3,713,902,276.25 681,070,222.53 3,032,832,053.72 363,939,846.45 371,390,227.63 2,978,572,202.18 0.68 0.68 预测值 2014 38,283,004,228.44 22,932,195,983.66 4,082,196,789.49 1,302,552,668.44 1,709,545,391.50 1,339,963,687.57 90,821,068.81 0.00 6,825,728,638.98 0.00 6,825,728,638.98 1,706,432,159.74 5,119,296,479.23 938,797,020.76 4,180,499,458.48 501,659,935.02 511,929,647.92 4,105,706,896.29 0.93 0.93 2015 ################# ################# 4,531,238,436.33 1,445,833,461.97 1,897,595,384.57 2,470,548,913.83 100,811,386.37 0.00 6,593,369,568.64 0.00 6,593,369,568.64 1,648,342,392.16 4,945,027,176.48 906,838,820.47 4,038,188,356.01 484,582,602.72 494,502,717.65 3,965,941,856.11 0.90 0.90 2016 45,468,724,122.12 27,236,569,169.80 4,848,425,126.88 1,547,041,804.30 2,030,427,061.49 1,308,558,700.66 107,868,183.42 0.00 8,389,834,075.57 0.00 8,389,834,075.57 2,097,458,518.89 6,292,375,556.68 1,153,920,944.03 5,138,454,612.65 616,614,553.52 629,237,555.67 5,046,523,447.49 1.15 1.15
基础预测数据 2013
17% 6% 6.6% 25% 12% 18.34%
预计利润表
项目 营业收入(元) 减：营业成本(元) 营业税金及附加(元) 销售费用(元) 管理费用(元) 财务费用(元) 资产减值损失(元) 加：投资净收益(元) 营业利润 营业外收支(元) 税前总额(元) 减：所得税(元) 净利润(元) 减：少数股东损益(元) 归属于母公司所有者的净利润(元) 本期发放股利 本期提取盈余公积 本期未分配利润 基本每股收益(元 人民币) 稀释每股收益(元 人民币) 实际值 2011 23,918,506,165.62 14,655,653,813.03 2,418,344,276.99 949,722,687.05 902,102,335.52 21,259,145.57 4,517,148.07 11,602,500.14 4,978,509,259.53 15,819,065.21 4,994,328,324.74 1,253,453,731.07 3,740,874,593.67 723,647,792.18 3,017,226,801.49 304,062,582.90 374,087,459.37 3,062,724,551.41 0.67 0.67 2012 28,702,207,398.74 17,193,129,392.46 3,060,576,390.38 976,572,700.88 1,281,710,444.97 920,048,414.59 68,091,969.42 0.00 5,202,078,086.04 0.00 5,202,078,086.04 1,300,519,521.51 3,901,558,564.53 715,483,381.66 3,186,075,182.87 382,329,021.94 390,155,856.45 3,129,073,686.14 0.71 0.712010 9.96%2011 10.08%
均值 11.67%
预测数 12%
2010 61.95%
2011 22.08%
均值 34.58%
础预测数据 2014
14% 6% 6.6% 25% 12% 18.34%
2015
11% 6% 6.6% 25% 12% 18.34%
2016
7% 6% 6.6% 25% 12% 18.34%
预计现金流量表 项目 经营活动现金流量 实际值 2011 2012
净利润 资产减值损失 折旧与摊销 财务费用 投资收益 递延所得税资产减少（增加） 递延所得税负债增加（减少） 营运资本减少（增加） 经营活动现金净流量 投资活动现金流量 固定资产、无形资产增量支出 其他投资 投资活动现金净流量 融资活动现金流量 短期借款增加 长期借款增加 实收资本增加 支付股利 少数股东分红 财务费用 融资活动现金净流量 现金净流量 期初现金流量 期末现金流量
3,740,874,593.67 4,517,148.07 79,244,560.29 167,247,326.62 (11,602,500.14) (258,626,659.46) 6,155,286.72 7,344,339,450.75 11,072,149,206.52 (122,600,211.50) (4,053,712,112.33) (4,176,312,323.83) 2,079,446,546.81 (3,891,844,759.72) 0.00 (35,772,069.00) 729,259,784.81 (21,259,145.57) (1,140,169,642.67) 5,755,667,240.02 12,882,720,330.88 18,638,387,570.90